Description

This analysis provides a forecast of THETA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 1.613096 1.841088 2.089746 2.381086 2.713126 3.079831 3.515662
2025-01-19 1.207163 1.503720 1.856100 2.305757 2.864586 3.536724 4.407418
2025-01-26 1.073129 1.419968 1.857208 2.449045 3.229921 4.226143 5.595864
2025-02-02 0.981288 1.364363 1.871281 2.591449 3.589451 4.925753 6.855144
2025-02-09 0.898847 1.304618 1.864641 2.694394 3.894318 5.569865 8.094069
2025-02-16 0.815242 1.229691 1.823647 2.737428 4.110284 6.100753 9.215773
2025-02-23 0.721947 1.127909 1.730054 2.688832 4.180399 6.418534 10.045172
2025-03-02 0.650557 1.050005 1.661663 2.667117 4.282664 6.785216 10.973280
2025-03-09 0.597069 0.993464 1.618799 2.677836 4.431701 7.230604 12.058220
2025-03-16 0.550646 0.942911 1.579356 2.687952 4.576999 7.677493 13.179906
2025-03-23 0.512877 0.902499 1.551735 2.713209 4.746676 8.174384 14.424407
2025-03-30 0.466212 0.841961 1.484180 2.662704 4.779942 8.440678 15.290061
2025-04-06 0.421895 0.782071 1.413583 2.602482 4.794479 8.682511 16.148414
2025-04-13 0.379129 0.720882 1.335167 2.520806 4.762717 8.839435 16.868106
2025-04-20 0.374571 0.729899 1.384078 2.677455 5.183458 9.851141 19.270852
2025-04-27 0.369627 0.737503 1.430627 2.833167 5.615365 10.918915 21.877014
2025-05-04 0.359246 0.733356 1.454145 2.945732 5.972596 11.873122 24.345494
2025-05-11 0.341922 0.713596 1.445333 2.992788 6.202873 12.597577 26.415841
2025-05-18 0.315274 0.672223 1.389832 2.939651 6.223894 12.905056 27.654099
2025-05-25 0.294081 0.640228 1.350423 2.915907 6.302815 13.334851 29.184455
2025-06-01 0.278132 0.617888 1.328892 2.927627 6.456884 13.931294 31.121968
2025-06-08 0.263377 0.596770 1.308043 2.938688 6.609830 14.536615 33.130764
2025-06-15 0.251142 0.580122 1.295319 2.966306 6.801187 15.239487 35.418557